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Affichage des articles dont le libellé est EZ. Afficher tous les articles

Dirk Ehnts — Sectoral balances of the eurozone

This afternoon I devoted to the sectoral balances of the eurozone. The current account is inverted, the public deficit a deficit and the private sector financial surplus a surplus. Some of the recent data is probably a forecast. I let the data speak for itself for now. Just one comment: the only country not able to run a consistent and significant surplus in the private sector is Greece. This is situation is hardly sustainable as debts are more easily repaid when a surplus exists. Continuation of the debt structure into the future is hence possible, but not likely.
Here the sectoral balances (in % of GDP; data from AMECO):
econoblog 101
Sectoral balances of the eurozone
Dirk Ehnts | Lecturer at Bard College Berlin

Alex Christoforou — More EU Trouble. Deutsche Bank Chief Economist Wants €150 Billion Bailout For EU Banks

Systemic risk.
Italy’s Prime Minister, Matteo Renzi, fired shots at Germany’s financial EU hegemony when, during a joint news conference with Swedish Prime Minister Stefan Lofven, said:
“If this non-performing loan problem is worth one, the question of derivatives at other banks, at big banks, is worth one hundred. This is the ratio: one to one hundred.”
Renzi was referring to the massive, trillions of derivatives Deutsche Bank is carrying on its books. According to Renzi, Italy may have issues, but “other” European banks have much bigger problems.…
The Duran
More EU Trouble. Deutsche Bank Chief Economist Wants €150 Billion Bailout For EU Banks
Alex Christoforou

Martin Armstrong — The Euro on the Brink of Disaster


Martin Armstrong predicts the imminent collapse of the euro.
The is starting to illustrate what I have been warning about. The EURO is in effect like a gold standard. When crisis hit, everyone had to suspend the gold standard for World Wars I and II and then upon the fall of Bretton Woods. The currencies were tied to gold which they could not increase its supply. This is the same crisis now with the EURO. Despite the EURO is really just electronic/paper, its quantity is still fixed by the EU membership. No single member state can just increase its supply unilaterally. That would be like trying to maintain a gold standard and one nation revalued its gold to three times that of what everyone else uses. That becomes impossible. The Silver Democrats nearly caused the bankruptcy of the USA for overvaluing silver relative to the world in the 19th century.
This is why the euro CANNOT SURVIVE. You have sovereign states with their own crisis and that demand measures separate and distinct from other members. This is how the euro system will break. It is extremely urgent that you understand the crisis ahead
It's looking, too, like Deutsche Bank many be the new Creditanstalt.

Of course, none of this is necessary operationally. but sticking to the rules, as Germany insists upon, will likely bring the entire house of cards down.

Armstrong Economics
The Euro on the Brink of Disaster